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Russia and Ukraine are meeting in Istanbul for their first peace negotiations in over seven weeks. The talks, hosted at the Ciragan Palace, are seen as a potential step toward de-escalation but are clouded by skepticism and major differences. U.S. President Donald Trump has added pressure, giving Russia a 50-day deadline to reach a deal or face new sanctions, although analysts doubt he’ll act on the threat. Trump, who had previously clashed with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has recently patched up ties with Kyiv but has shown rising frustration with Russia's continued aggression.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov acknowledged that expectations for a breakthrough are low, calling the negotiations "very difficult" and the two sides’ positions “diametrically opposed.” A Ukrainian official emphasized that their delegation is ready for bold steps toward peace but that progress depends on Moscow’s willingness to negotiate in good faith. Kyiv is focused on arranging a direct meeting between Zelenskiy and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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Previous rounds of talks in May and June saw limited success, mostly limited to prisoner exchanges. Meanwhile, both sides have continued intense military operations. Russia claims to have captured new territory in Sumy, while Ukraine recently struck deep into Russian air bases using drones. Despite the efforts for peace, the conflict continues to evolve on the battlefield and in diplomacy.
The peace talks come with no illusions of a quick resolution. Ukrainian President Zelenskiy outlined the priorities: return of prisoners of war, return of Ukrainian children taken by Russia, and preparing for a summit with Putin. However, Russia dismisses the idea of Zelenskiy as a legitimate leader, citing Ukraine's failure to hold new elections during wartime martial law, and it denies any wrongdoing regarding abducted children.
In the last meeting on June 2, Russia presented a list of demands that Ukraine strongly rejects. These include the full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from four Russian-occupied regions, legal recognition of those regions as Russian territory, military restrictions on Ukraine, protection for Russian speakers, and a formal declaration of neutrality meaning Ukraine would abandon NATO or other alliances. Ukraine sees this as surrender, not negotiation.
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Zelenskiy has insisted on an immediate ceasefire, reparations from Russia, international security guarantees, and no future limits on Ukraine’s defense capabilities. The differences between the two nations remain vast and deeply entrenched, making any real progress difficult without significant compromises.
Despite the low expectations, diplomatic sources suggest that if the Russian side is serious, small gains could be made. The biggest question is whether Putin is genuinely open to negotiation or simply stalling for better battlefield positioning. As time ticks on Trump’s 50-day ultimatum, all eyes are on Istanbul to see if diplomacy can outpace war or if another round of talks will end without real change.
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